Speaker
Description
Abstract
The prediction of solar irradiance for certain regions is of utmost importance in
guiding solar power conversion systems with a specific focus on design, modelling,
and operation. In addition, the selection of proper regions with sufficient solar
irradiance also plays a significant role for the decision-makers responsible for future
investment policies about green energy. The lack of weather stations and measured
solar parameter in most areas in the developing countries have contributed to the
development of prediction models for solar irradiance. However, reliable prediction of
solar irradiance is dependent on the availability of quality data and also the
prediction methods used. Empirical models have been developed and used in the
past; however, in recent times intelligent algorithms have proved to have more
predictive power due to the availability of high-frequency data. Against this
background, this study use two empirical models namely: the Clemence model and
Hargreaves and Samani model to predict the global solar irradiance in Mutale station area in the Limpopo province in South Africa. Furthermore, machine learning and deep learning techniques namely: Support Vector Machines (SVM), Random Forest (RF) and Long-Short Term Memory (LSTM) networks were also used to predict global solar irradiance in the same area. To assess the efficiencies of these empirical and machine models, the estimated values for the global solar radiation was compared against the recorded data from the Mutale weather station
Level for award;(Hons, MSc, PhD, N/A)?
MSc
Apply to be considered for a student ; award (Yes / No)? | Yes |
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