8-12 July 2013
Africa/Johannesburg timezone
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Lightning Activity Predictions for Single Buoy Moorings

Presented by Dr. Andrew COLLIER on 10 Jul 2013 from 09:00 to 09:20
Type: Oral Presentation
Session: Applied
Track: Track F - Applied Physics

Abstract

Offshore Single Buoy Moorings (SBMs) serve as points for tankers to load and offload gases or liquids. They cater for ships of any size and remove the need to enter port. This is especially important for very large vessels. SBMs located in areas of intense lightning activity are vulnerable to disruptions caused by thunderstorms. Furthermore, some of the fluids transferred via SBMs are either hazardous or flammable. A direct lighting strike while a ship is tethered to a SBM would therefore have catastrophic consequences. We present an ensemble machine learning model which uses real time global lightning data to predict lightning activity in the vicinity of SBMs. These predictions will be used to schedule SBM transfers and to provide advanced warning of dangerous conditions.

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